June 26, 1999
Nebraska Panhandle Tornadic Supercell
As can be expected this
time of the year, storm chasing involves quite a bit more driving than usual. The focus
area for supercells typically shifts to the High Plains and the N.Plains states; in order
to chase from Tulsa, very long drives to get into
position are the rule. Since an extended period of severe weather was forecast for the
weekend of June 26 and 27, I prepared to chase the High Plains. Brian and Kathryn also
were planning to chase with me this weekend which was good considering the amount of
driving involved. We prepared to leave Tulsa early on
Saturday morning and our initial target zone was either NE Colorado or possibly
(hopefully) NW Kansas. This area was setting up nicely for a significant upslope severe
weather event. A surface low was expected to deepen during the day on
Saturday over WC/SW Kansas. This would result in a very large area of upsloping east to
northeast winds across much of E. Colorado, NW Kansas, W. Nebraska, and E.Wyoming.
Unseasonably strong mid level southwest winds would result in
very deep layers of shear in these areas. Supercells were likely and tornadoes were also a
very real threat. An area of strong diffluence at mid levels was also located over NE
Colorado and W.Nebraska so the potential for the famous right moving High Plains tornadic
supercell was very high today. The SPC (Storm
Prediction Center) outlooked much of the High Plains ofColorado, Nebraska, E.Wyoming and
NW Kansas with a moderate risk of severe storms and tornadoes.Very unstable air (for the
High Plains) was expected to combine with deep layer of shear to produce a regional
outbreak of tornadic supercells. We left Tulsa at 7am and departed for original target
zone- Yuma and Washington Co. in the northeast corner of Colorado. These counties have a
notorious history this time ofyear that you just cannot ignore!!!
We drove through much of
Kansas under the dominance of a strong cap, but alsounder a fairly strong low level jet.
Low level clouds were ripping north at 40-50 mph across S.Kansas, and were heading
northwest from C.Kansas. The 850 lowmust have been firming up a litlle further north than
the forecast models indicated last night. The morning upper air data indicated the 850 low
was developing over NE Wyoming rather than SE Wyoming. This might alter our chase plans
later, but we were not sure about this. One thing that was really apparent was that a cold
front was sagging south through C/E Nebraska, but was hanging up over SW/WC Nebraska.
Also, satellite images revealed that moisture was wrapping back to the west into the
Nebraska Panhandle and E. Wyoming. After the episodes in early June, both Brian and I knew
what that meant for later!! Deep moisture wrapping
under the jet is almost a sure guarantee of supercells anywhere/anytime! As we cruised
west on I-70, we recognized that the cap was increasing, particularly to the south of
I-70. Low clouds were disappearing the further west we traveled, and
it looked as if a mid level wave had just passed and subsidence was moving in. On our long
storm chasing adventure earlier in June, both Brian and I learned a great deal about
chasing the High Plains and where we needed to chase when the cap was an increasing
factor. We learned that when cap was strong and increasing, the only hope for supercell
development was where there was a fetch of northeast winds. This wind direction seemed to
be the magical factor for tornadoes. Surface data was showing that E. Wyoming and Nebraska
Panhandle were where there was a large area of northeast winds by late morning.
We continued on to Colby
on I-70 arriving there shortly after 1 pm. The new SPC outlook continued to point at NE
Colorado, W.Nebraska,SE Wyoming, and extreme NW Kansas for a moderate risk including
tornadic supercells. We hoped for a "quick" lunch in Colby but there was
restaurant convergence for locals and vacationers alike on I-70 today. The anticipated 15
minute pit stop was stretched into an hour stop, so we lost some valuable time there. The
cap was now very strong along and south of I-70. This was good and bad. Good because it
would focus the building up atmospheric energy into our target zone. Bad because it was
appearing that the cap was working into NE Colorado and NW Kansas as well. Our drive was
now going to be longer it was appearing. We kept heading west through Goodland and
Burlington on I-70. The only hint that storms were
about ready to develop was an cluster of cumulus along the Laramie Range in E.Wyoming.
Other cumulus was bubbling, but appeared to be severely capped as there was little in the
way of sustained growth. We headed north from Seibert CO and headed for the Fort Morgan
area. We pulled over near the town of Last
Chance; today was still young so we were not down to our last chance!! The winds were due
east and were becoming gusty, usually a good thing this time of year in E.Colorado for
tornadoes. The cap was just too strong and we began to recognize our need to get north and
quick. The southwest flow was drivingvery dry air down the lee side of the Rockies into
the Plains. Denver's dew point plummeted by late afternoon to the upper 30's, and it was
appearing that much of the deeper moisture was scouring out from the extreme cap.
We watched several towers
attempt to break the cap without success. Radar was showing that several weak storms
attempted to grow in the foothills, but the only real development continued to the north
of Cheyenne. Everywhere else, the cap was in control. We could actually see the cluster of
storms in Wyoming to the very distant north from Last Chance. We knew that we needed to
get closer to this area so we blasted north for the Nebraska Panhandle. Initially, this
cluster of storms
was multi-cellular, but it eventually congealed into separate cells. The movement of the
cells was originally to the east, but the diffluence turned them more to the southeast
with time. We raced north from Brush CO and now could see that a well developed supercell
was forming to our north. Radar was indicating a large hook echo near the town of
Chugwater WY. We plotted the storm's path over the next hour and it was heading for the
Kimball NE area. Actually, there were now two separate supercells. One tracking for
Kimball and another tracking towards the
Scottsbluff NE area. The southern storm appeared to be the more dominant and established
supercell. We traversed Weld Co. in no time at all, and the supercell was just approaching
the Wyoming/Nebraska border. A severe t-storm warning
for this storm was quickly upgraded to a tornado warning for S.Goshen Co. in E. Wyoming.
The circulation was anchored near the town of Lagrange WY, but the supercell was literally
exploding in size. The supercell had finally reached the
60 degree dew points. Both Brian and I were wondering (out loud) what would happen when
the storm moved into the 65 -70 dew points!!
The supercell continued
to grow larger on radar with time and the main rotation was also increasing. We crossed
the Nebraska border at nearly the same time the supercell did to our northwest. The
circulation continued to track very slowly to the southeast; meanwhile, the parent storm
tracked more east-southeast. The
diffluence was very evident now. Radar indicated that the circulation was going to pass
north of Kimball. We filled up with gas in Kimball and we could see a wall cloud to our
northwest. The storm's speed picked up significantly at this time. After our pit stop, we
had to decide if we were going to go west on I-80 and then north, or just go straight
north on NE-71. For a brief moment we started west on I-80, but once we saw the size and
position of the wall cloud, we turned around and headed back for NE-71. The circulation
was actually going to track across S.Banner and N.Kimball Counties. One advantage we had,
the High Plains made visibility very good so we were able to watch the wall cloud from a
great distance. Radar was now indicating baseball sized hail near Harrisburg NE to our
north. The circulation had moved into SW Banner Co., and a tornado warning was now
issued for S.Banner and N.Kimball Counties. The developing tornado was over open country
14 miles southwest of Harrisburg. This was where we could see the wall cloud. No funnels,
but numerous cloud tags were swirling about the wall cloud to our northwest about 15
miles. Unfortunately, we had to take dirt roads to get to the wall cloud. Open country in
the Nebraska Panhandle truly means wide open rangeland!!
We got behind a local
farmer kicking up dust and blotting out our view of the wallcloud for several minutes. We
pulled over and let this car move on. The wall cloud was looking as though it was becoming
rain wrapped. The contrast of the wall cloud against the core/rain curtains was reduced
dramatically. Radar confirmed
the core was staring to surround the circulation. We certainly did not expect this on the
High Plains!! We were at the intersection of County Rds 17 and 48 where we watched the
circulation pass to our north about 3 miles. Radar was indicating that there were now 2
circulations(common for diffluent situations). The stronger
circulation was the one that passed to our north and was embedded in rain and hail. The
second circulation developed about 5 miles to our w-sw apparently on the tail end of
circulation#1 gust front. We headed east on CR-48 and kept ahead of circulation#1.
Numerous dust swirls were appearing in open fields around us,but the main circulation was
still to our north. Eventually, vigorous rotation worked towards the ground under the main
circulation. A dusty tornado was now under-way about 2 miles to our n-ne( or about 5 miles
south of Harrisburg-Banner Co.).
We watched this tornado for about 2-3 minutes before the advancing core andgust front made
us move on quickly.
We made it back to NE-71
as circulation#2 was approaching quickly from the west. Several other chasers/spotters
were watching from the highway. We did not want to get nailed by the huge hail core that
was approaching from the northwest so we headed south on NE-71. This was a good decision
because the
circulation was going to cross south of the intersection of CR-48 and NE-71. We could see
very strong rotation in the clouds as the circulation spun directly for us.The RFD was
punching southeast and we could see the main rotation area inthe rain curtains not more
than a mile to our northwest. Unfortunately, the RFD
blasted us with dust as winds kicked up to 70 mph from the west. The dust cutoff our view
of the circulation eventually. Radar continued to show the dual storm circulations as it
headed across NE Kimball Co.. We wanted to get ahead of the storm using PAVED roads this
time. Rain was falling out ahead of the circulations and was making for slick roads on the
unimproved county roads. We passed back through Kimball and reached I-80. On radar, the
supercell tripled in size asit headed southeast for S.Morrill and N.Cheyenne Co.. Two very
strong areas of
circulation on radar were now showing up. The northern circulation appeared to be deeply
embedded in the core. The southern circulation(#2 from earlier) was more removed from the
core and had a better tornado potential for this reason.
It was tracking just to the northwest of Potter NE.
With the circulation to
our northwest, we continued east on I-80 stopping every now and then to watch the
supercell, that was becoming more HP with time. We watched radar closely to see if the
circulations were going to isolate themselves from the core a little more so we could
intercept. As expected, the supercell was
now gusting out from all the cold air generated by the huge hailcore. Right over I-80, a
new storm updraft formed rapidly just to our east. Fortunately, we passed under the
updraft before the huge hail formed. We only got huge raindrops and dime/quarter sized
hail. We knew that golfballs were soon to appear though!!
This updraft formed a circulation almost as fast as it developed from just a small
towering cumulus. The circulation was forming right over I-80 near Potter and we noticed
something right away that was missing earlier. Low level clouds were ripping to the west-
we were now in the 850 jet. Time for action!!
We continued to head east
on I-80 and the circulation tracked more or less right behind us for much of the way. We
were at the Brownson exit when we realized that this was the real deal. Surface winds were
east-northeast at 40-50 mph and
low level clouds were screaming in at unbelievable speeds. A tornado was sure to be
imminent now!! Radar was indicating amazing circulation that was heading right for the
town of Sidney as were we. We could see a very dark/low hanging
wall cloud to our west, but we could also see a very menacing hailcore sagging our
direction. We pulled over at the main Sidney exit and we could not decide which was going
to nail us first- the baseball sized hailcore or the developing tornado to the west of
town!! Inflow into this circulation was extreme as we had
blowing dust/gravel at our location just south of Sidney. We could see the large scale
rotation to our west about 3 miles. The front side of the circulation was racing north at
an incredible rate and the backside was diving south at speeds that both Brian and I
estimated at 100 mph. Surely a tornado would appear for
video before we would have to seek shelter from the huge hailcore!!
The sky was now a very
dark/ominous shade of forest green. We were on the edge of something bad and something
even worse!! Radio indicated that a tornado was now confirmed on the ground to our west
about 2 miles tracking southeast. Exteremely large hail was also moving into the west side
of Sidney with winds of over 80 mph. Now it was decision time!! Do we risk having the
vehicle/windshield smashed by baseballs or do we get south ahead of the tornado to our
southwest. Rain curtains blocked our view of the tornado that was still reported on the
ground. Road options made our decision for us. Dirt roadswere all that were available to
us to get ahead of the tornado, and we were not
ready to deal with the potential of slick roads and huge hail. We did the sanething to do
and pulled under the canopy of the Holiday Inn Express. We knew what was about to nail
us!! A few of the guests were looking out for the stormat the front door. The clock was
now ticking when the huge hail and extreme
outflow winds would hit our location. Several of the guests were more concerned about the
tornado(that was now 5 miles to our south) than they were of the huge hailcore that was
bearing down on us. We told them what was about to happen and I went into the hotel to
advise everybody to get away from the windows.
Baseball sized hail and 90 mph winds are not a time when you want to look out the window!!
The leading edge of the
hailcore was ushered in by a dramatic blast of 90 mph winds. Very large hail (mostly
golfball, but a few hailstones up to baseball sized)pounded down with incredible
intensity. At first, the strong winds suspended the large hail and rolled the larger
hailstones bowling ball style. Brian went to the
sw corner of the hotel and was watching from behind the protective west wall ofthe hotel.
The wall shielded him from the wind driven hail and he had a very unique view of the
incredible hailstorm. Glass was heard breaking from the hail from time to time, and large
objects/debris were thrown into the air by the 70-80 mph winds now. The full fury of the
enormous supercell was now upon us. For the next 30-40 minutes, a continuous pounding of
quarter to golfball sized hail impacted the vehicles and buildings around us. Brian held
his position at the corner of the Holiday Inn Express, meanwhile Kathryn and I watched
from under the canopy of the hotel. An incredible amount of hail fell for the 30+ minutes,
and the temperatures dropped into the lower 60's and actually created a wind chill of much
lower than that!! Once the hail subsided, Brian joined us under the canopy and had an
amazed look on his face when he returned. This was the first time he had ever been outside
and actually felt the hail hit the ground!! The supercell moved off to the south and
southeast into Colorado and tornado warnings were issued for Logan and W.Sedgwick
Counties. Thankfully we headed under shelter
before this monster hit, otherwise we might have lost the windshield as many cars in the
lot had. A few renegade hailstones did blow under the canopy and left some welts on the
vehicle. It was hard to believe that we were actually not in the meanest part of the storm
either!! Softball sized hail and 85 mph+ winds
blasted the areas immediately west and south of Sidney. I guess you could say we
"escaped" the supercell....
After the wrath of the
supercell was over, we were forced to scramble for lodging and a place to eat. Power was
knocked out to most of the restaurants and hotels along I-80, and numerous motorists were
forced off the highway by the massive supercell. This made hotel rooms a PREMIUM in
Sidney. We were fortunate to find a basement room(how fitting) at an old-style motel in
Sidney. Once we got our motel room, the next big task was finding a restaurant open at
10pm. Most of the restaurants had closed early because of the storm and we worked through
the flooded town to find a place to eat. Fortunately, Dude's Steakhouse was open but was
in process of closing. We pleaded with the restaurant manager and she served us. Special
thanks to the employees for that consideration. Dinner was very good and we were very
thankful the restaurant served us. Otherwise, we
may have had to resort to convenience store food(no thanks). Numerous stories and rumors
abounded about devastated homes and extreme property damage west and south of town. The
restaurant manager told us that this was the first time
in 30 years of business that patrons and employees had to seek shelter in the cooler!! We
closed out our check and headed to get some beer- there was lots of data to review and
look over!! After an hour or so of intense data absorption, we called it a night. Tomorrow
was looking to be a repeat performance, but we were
still uncertain of a specific target area. Overnight convection and too many outflow
boundaries precluded any decision of a target area for tomorrow's chase. The RUC model was
showing that the action might initiate a little further west Sunday.
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